Drivers: what’s happening
According to Michael Dell, the founder and CEO of Dell, generative artificial intelligence has been on everyone's lips as if it is the destination, but it isn't.
At Dell Technologies World 2023, he suggested that AI was more or less a dress rehearsal for what was coming next: quantum computing. 'Imagine if [AI] now ran at five orders of magnitude higher performance,' he told the audience. 'And that, inevitably, is coming.'
Quantum computers are a new kind of computing technology that harnesses the principles of quantum mechanics to process information.
They use quantum bits, or qubits, which can exist in multiple states simultaneously, enabling them to solve complex issues much faster than traditional computers.
Market Snapshot
: The global quantum computing market is set to grow from £11.3bn ($13.7bn, €12.9bn) in 2022 to £118.5bn ($143.4bn, €135.9bn) by 2032, at a CAGR of 26.5% during the same forecast period (source: Spherical Insights & Consulting)
: The global quantum computing in healthcare market is set to reach £820m ($1bn, €940m) by 2030 at an astounding CAGR of 45.4% between 2023 and 2030 (source: Research and Markets)
: Quantum computers' use cases include developing artificial intelligence, data analysis, chemistry and drug research, carbon capture, new fuels, batteries, fertilisers and more
Several industries have already invested in quantum and identified its potential to speed up tasks such as optimisation, cryptography, drug discovery and materials science. For businesses, being quantum literate could lead to competitive advantages, cost savings and breakthroughs in research and development.
'Many of our clients approach us not merely out of interest in quantum computers, but with the intent to explore whether our unique approach can offer superior solutions to their specific problems,' Yuval Boger, chief marketing officer at QuEra Computing, tells LS:N Global.
The Boston-based tech company owns a 256-qubit machine named Aquila and aims to build the industry’s most scalable quantum computers to tackle useful but classically intractable problems for commercially relevant applications. Boger says companies knock on his door with a clear set of challenges they hope quantum will resolve: machine learning (such as fraud detection and classification), optimisation (such as enhancing logistics) and simulation (of materials and quantum-level effects).
After an initial consultation, clients can start a collaboration with QuEra Computing, or subscribe to access its quantum computer remotely (through Amazon Braket, a service that helps researchers and developers use quantum computers and simulators to build quantum algorithms). They can also rent a quantum computer that the company will install in their client's premises when data can't leave the building for security reasons.
Across the world, early adopters attempt to prepare their businesses for a future scenario where quantum will supercharge AI, dismantle all existing encryption models, begin a new healthcare era and give a new lease of life to eco-tech.
Market shifts: what’s new
Quantum-Safe Data Protection
In a 2023 Forrester study, industry experts hypothesised quantum computers will be able to crack all current cryptosystems in the next five to 30 years, with a majority claiming a 50%-70% chance of this occurring before 2028. From accessing collected customer data to private messages and banking, quantum computers represent a massive threat should they fall into the wrong hands.
‘I think the price of introducing post-quantum cryptography will far outweigh the risks, and shoring up against this threat will be some companies’ first exposure to preparing for the advent of commercial-scale quantum computing,’ Berenice Baker, editor of Enter Quantum, tells LS:N Global. ‘Many are undertaking audits of their security systems to protect against the harvest now and decrypt later threats – where bad actors steal encrypted data to decrypt it once the technology becomes available.’
In May 2023, IBM unveiled its IBM Quantum Safe technology, a comprehensive suite of tools and expertise designed to safeguard organisations including businesses and government agencies, as they prepare for the quantum era. The firm hoped to offer enterprises a comprehensive solution to protect their most valuable data against future quantum attacks. Similarly, at the RSA Conference on online cybersecurity in June 2023, British telecommunications company Vodafone announced new quantum-safe cryptographic solutions, ensuring businesses can maintain the security of their data against quantum-powered hacking.
‘The potential threat quantum computing poses to encryption is indeed a reality, even though current quantum computers are not yet capable of executing Shor’s algorithm, which could potentially break existing encryption models,’ says QuEra’s Boger. ‘This looming threat is driving the demand for quantum-safe encryption solutions. The question may not be who can afford to invest in quantum-safe encryption but rather who can afford NOT to invest in it.’
In July 2023, HSBC became the first bank to join BT and Toshiba’s quantum-secured metro network, using quantum key distribution (QKD) to prepare its global operations against future cyber threats.
We currently provide quantum computing access to the US Air Force Research Laboratory, which will use the system to develop quantum algorithms and applications to advance national security interests
A Quantum Health Revolution
As explored in IBM’s Quantum Computing Nirvana, the technology is set to revolutionise healthcare and drug discovery. In March 2023, the firm unveiled the first deployment of an on-site, private sector IBM-managed quantum computer at the US non-profit Cleveland Clinic, which is looking into developing a pipeline where quantum computers can help screen and optimise drugs that target specific proteins. It will also experiment with quantum-enhanced machine learning to improve prediction models for cardiovascular risks following non-cardiac surgery.
‘There is no question that international pharma giants are researching quantum computing,’ says Baker. ‘Some use cases we have covered on Enter Quantum include Insilico Medicine, which has combined quantum computing and generative AI to explore lead candidates for drug discovery. Roche partnered with [quantum machine learning library] QC Ware to better identify the presence of diabetic retinopathy. Fujitsu is also working with the Barcelona Supercomputing Centre to use quantum computing to advance personalised medicine.’
Christopher Monroe, co-founder and chief scientist of IonQ, a Maryland-based quantum computing company aiming to transform ‘business, society and the planet’, insists that investing in quantum is crucial for the healthcare industry. He tells LS:N Global: ‘On average, it takes several years and billions of dollars to take a new drug from the lab to the marketplace, with years of R&D effort required before a candidate molecule even makes it into clinical trials. Quantum computing has the potential to expedite the entire process by simulating chemical reactions via software instead of in the lab.’
In February 2023, SandboxAQ, a New York SaaS (software as a service) company combining AI and quantum tech, raised £412.5m ($500m, €473.5m) in funding. Backed by the American multinational technology conglomerate Alphabet (the parent company of Google) and other prominent investors, the company uses quantum-inspired computing for drug discovery through its AQBioSim division. This technology aims to expedite the development of treatments for diseases like cancer, Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s by streamlining the research and development process. SandboxAQ has already partnered with big names such as AstraZeneca, Sanofi and the University of California, San Francisco, all of which are exploring AQBioSim’s technology for drug discovery processes.
A significant aspect of pharmaceutical research involves understanding and simulating molecular and atomic interactions, many of which are influenced by quantum effects. Quantum computers, with their inherent ability to simulate these quantum phenomena, are an ideal tool for such tasks
Advancing Eco-tech
‘We believe quantum technology can provide next-generation solutions to advance sustainability significantly. For example, our partnership with Hyundai Motors highlights quantum’s potential for more efficient EV batteries – a critical goal in meeting global sustainability targets,’ says IonQ’s Monroe.
Several other experts predict that as the technology matures, quantum computing will help to develop eco-tech and new solutions to live more sustainably. The hardware could require less energy expenditure than classical supercomputers.
For Baker, sustainability use cases for quantum computing could impact various industries, from managing decentralised energy networks to developing new battery materials for EVs or reducing fuel consumption and pollution by creating efficient delivery routes. Quantum could also forecast and monitor the effects of climate change via more in-depth data analysis executed in a snap.
British aerospace and defence company Rolls-Royce has worked with Brighton-based computer hardware manufacturer Universal Quantum since 2021. Both firms hope to develop quantum computers that could improve the efficiency of aircraft engines, potentially resulting in environmental benefits by reducing carbon emissions.
In May 2022, PsiQuantum, a Palo Alto tech company building a utility-scale quantum computer, launched Qlimate, a quantum computing net-zero initiative to scale decarbonisation technology breakthroughs. Qlimate is partnering with businesses such as global green energy company Fortescue, governments and philanthropic organisations to develop and optimise decarbonisation use cases that can run on the first-generation quantum computer, focusing on agriculture, solar, green hydrogen and carbon capture. The goal is to speed up the path to net-zero emissions and tackle climate change using quantum computing capabilities.
Big Four accounting firm EY is also getting involved in quantum against climate change. Leveraging its partnership with IBM quantum technology, EY plans to support its clients across finance, oil and gas, healthcare and government with innovative quantum-powered innovations and ESG strategies.
Our 256-qubit machine consumes less than 10kW of energy. It’s minuscule compared to the megawatts required by a supercomputer
Analysis: what this means
From healthcare to telecommunications and banking, businesses have already identified the potential of quantum computing. However, while tangible use cases are still in their early days, firms aren’t aware of all the possibilities that different kinds of quantum computers represent. For instance, IonQ systems don’t require exotic quantum materials fabrication (such as gold and diamond) and don’t need to be refrigerated to near absolute zero like IBM’s chandelier quantum computer. IonQ’s systems can also run off a standard wall circuit.
But, as explained by Dr Ilana Wisby, the founder and CEO of Oxford Quantum Circuits, a UK firm building quantum computers for business, patience remains crucial when it comes to driving new revenues via quantum. ‘We typically have three types of customers. One is super quantum smart. We can give them an API [application programming interface], and they can get started,’ she tells LS:N Global.
She says the second kind of customers (70% of her clientele) are early quantum adopters with usually a use case. They know what type of algorithm they want to run and also have their data, but they don’t necessarily know how to put something together. ‘That’s when we can use our team to support them or to be able to say 'here’s an example of how you might run this type of optimisation algorithm on this kind of data,' and hold their hand until they can take it from there,’ says Dr Wisby.
‘And then the remaining part wants immediate business impact. For them, quantum computing is questionable, and they’re unsure of the return on investment. They’re focused on that as opposed to learning.’ As seen with HSBC and Vodafone, the priority for businesses in the 2020s will be to quantum-proof their ventures to protect their data and retain consumers’ trust.
The next step, already taken by firms including Roche and Rolls-Royce, is to join forces with quantum computer hardware manufacturers and SaaS providers created for business.
‘This is how quantum computing will emerge. Users will partner with quantum computing companies working on a particular problem and try to reach for low-hanging fruit,’ Professor Winfried Hensinger, chief scientist, co-founder and chairman of Universal Quantum, told The National News.
Quantum computing is maturing incredibly fast, and the race for global quantum supremacy is real. The stage is set for quantum computing to solve society’s biggest problems that our existing technologies cannot
Strategic opportunities
: What would the impact be on your business if all your encrypted information was cracked in the next five-10 years? Consider assessing the risks now and planning a roadmap to turn your current cybersecurity ecosystem into quantum-safe encryption
: As quantum technology matures, explore how it can be leveraged to develop eco-tech solutions. The hardware's potential for reduced energy consumption makes it an attractive option for sustainable innovation
: Although it's still early days, health and pharmaceutical firms should be ready to collaborate with quantum computing companies which can expedite drug discovery processes thanks to chemical reaction simulations – significantly reducing the time and cost of bringing new drugs to market simultaneously